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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+8.41vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.70vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+7.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+3.22vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+5.03vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+4.69vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+2.87vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+0.62vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+4.98vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-1.01vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-1.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.30vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.97vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-3.42vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.76-2.83vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.31-2.18vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.37-11.52vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.70-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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13.98Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.99Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.58Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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13.17Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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6.48College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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13.12Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Maeve White | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 20.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Julia Leighton | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 30.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.