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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+8.95vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+8.37vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+5.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.13vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+3.73vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.50+7.37vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+0.67vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+1.64vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.89vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-1.88vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-4.39vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.76-1.80vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-4.16vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-5.16vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.31-2.99vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.37-12.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.46Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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14.37Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.64Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.12Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.2Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.84Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.8% |
| Maeve White | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 27.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.