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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.97vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.50+12.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+6.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.34vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+7.26vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+3.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.58vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+1.77vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92-0.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-2.80vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.36vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-0.77vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-4.11vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-2.06vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.76-1.80vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-6.21vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.31-2.14vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.09vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.37-12.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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14.28Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.91Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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12.26Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.77Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.23Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.94Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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13.2Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 21.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Maeve White | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Julia Gowell | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 29.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.