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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.96vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.39vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+3.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.32vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.67vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.27vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+0.69vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98+3.34vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.31+4.95vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-1.69vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-3.44vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.67-5.53vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.36-5.23vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-5.13vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-3.63vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.58-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.33Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.67College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.27Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.34Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.56Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.13Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.47Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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14.37Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Maeve White | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 30.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 23.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.