← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+8.85vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+8.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.33vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.84vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.64vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.23vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+2.16vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+2.83vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-0.55vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.31+4.09vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-0.63vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-0.69vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-6.51vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-5.12vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-7.67vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.69vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.08vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.14-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.84College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.23Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.16George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.83Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.45Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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15.09University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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11.37Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.31Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.33Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.31Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.46Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 30.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Maeve White | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 23.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.