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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+8.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+8.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+4.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.28vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+3.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+3.40vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.31+7.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+2.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.92vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73+2.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-6.88vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-3.92vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.42vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.36-5.27vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.58-7.12vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.23vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College1.50-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.4Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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15.09University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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11.79Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.47Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.92Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.73Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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14.03Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Maeve White | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 33.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.