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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.26vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.59vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+4.39vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+9.40vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+2.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70+5.64vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+1.55vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-1.04vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-1.61vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+2.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.40vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.31+0.97vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-5.31vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-6.41vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-5.33vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.58-8.32vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.84-14.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.59College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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13.4Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.27Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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13.64Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.39Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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14.58Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.97University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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9.69George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.59Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.67Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Maeve White | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 22.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 26.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.