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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.70+11.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+7.86vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+5.79vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.74vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+2.30vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.63vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+1.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.82vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14+1.66vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-1.25vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.67-2.29vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.73+0.14vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-4.25vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.18-7.77vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.99vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.86vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.21vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia1.31-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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13.59Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.3Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.75George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.71Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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13.14Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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14.14Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 21.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.