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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+7.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+6.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.80vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+4.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+1.08vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09-0.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.97+2.20vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-1.14vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.87vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.15+2.88vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-2.77vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-1.50vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.21vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.22vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.99vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-1.11vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.98-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.05Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.88College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.86Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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14.88Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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12.5Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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16.89Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Annie Spence | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Martina Sly | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 16.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 48.5% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.