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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.28+8.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+7.47vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida4.17+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.69+4.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.78+3.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.33+2.67vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+2.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-3.61vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.61-1.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-0.14vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.86vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-6.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.58vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-3.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.55-3.42vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.89vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.57-0.41vs Predicted
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19Queen's University0.43-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.45University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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8.09College of Charleston3.780.0%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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5.39Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.5Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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17.59Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
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17.59Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall Hartranft | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 19.2% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Evan Siepert | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| John Wallace | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Michael Russom | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 34.5% | 44.5% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 29.2% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.