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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+6.13vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+10.40vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+5.19vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+5.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+3.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.65vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+4.46vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.17vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-0.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.19vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.19-0.50vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.09-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.42vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.83vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-0.68vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-1.04vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.38-11.19vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-1.12vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.50-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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12.4Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.33Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.5Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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14.32Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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14.96University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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16.88Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Riley Legault | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Paris Henken | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 15.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 48.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.