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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+9.67vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+8.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+6.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.97+7.65vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.15vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+2.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-0.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.85vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-1.90vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74+1.51vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.60vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-5.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.01vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.38-9.29vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.58-7.14vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.28-0.18vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.98-2.79vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College1.77-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.67Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.1George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.51Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.9Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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16.82Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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15.21University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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12.07Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Martina Sly | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Annie Spence | 2.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Riley Legault | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 53.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 21.4% | 22.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.