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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+8.03vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+8.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+2.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+4.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.64vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-1.19vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+4.58vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.15+5.25vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97+0.47vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.02-4.62vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-2.74vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.58-4.95vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.28+1.67vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.00vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-8.97vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.98-2.90vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.76-11.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.58Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.25Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.67College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.26Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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16.67Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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15.1University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 5.6% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 14.5% |
| Paris Henken | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 49.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 22.6% | 19.3% |
| Riley Legault | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.