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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+7.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+6.93vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+6.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+3.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.90vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.83vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+1.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19+2.78vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.500.00vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74+2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.23vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.88vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.30vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.88vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.23vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.97-4.68vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-2.60vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-1.08vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.98-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.1Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.78Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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14.4Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.92Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Martina Sly | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Annie Spence | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 17.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 48.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.