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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.50+8.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.75vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+8.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+6.68vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+4.17vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.68vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+3.55vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.19+1.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-3.15vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-4.35vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.05vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.44vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.88vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-7.08vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.04-5.11vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-2.62vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.98-2.96vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University0.28-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.86Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.05Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.65College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.89Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.38Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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15.04University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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16.57Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Martina Sly | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Annie Spence | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Riley Legault | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 19.9% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.