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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+7.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+5.05vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+5.97vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.19+6.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.93vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+4.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-1.32vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.39vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97+0.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.50vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.98-0.28vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.76-8.11vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-7.14vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-3.57vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University0.28-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.44Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.93College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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14.43Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.58Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Martina Sly | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 21.3% |
| Riley Legault | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 16.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 17.8% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.