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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+8.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.79vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+6.24vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.72vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.76vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55+1.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-0.82vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+2.57vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.34vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-3.71vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-2.82vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15+0.57vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-1.07vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-9.01vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-1.12vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.04-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.96Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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14.57Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.99Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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16.88Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.65Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Paris Henken | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Riley Legault | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 14.8% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 22.3% | 18.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 48.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.