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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+4.78vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+7.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+4.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+6.83vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.19+5.84vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+2.97vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+3.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-4.34vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04+0.19vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.55vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-5.13vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-1.56vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.21vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.21+0.98vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98-2.03vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.09-11.32vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.84Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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7.87Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.44Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.79Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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16.98Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.97University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Martina Sly | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Riley Legault | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 4.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 55.5% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 23.6% | 21.8% |
| Paris Henken | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.