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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.50+8.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+2.81vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+1.08vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77+5.43vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19+2.82vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.75vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-3.33vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-0.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.43vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-5.81vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.08vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98-1.99vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.21-0.90vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.04-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.1Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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12.43Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.82Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.67College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.91Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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11.84Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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17.1Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.76Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Paris Henken | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Annie Spence | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Riley Legault | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 23.1% | 22.1% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 53.1% |
| Grace Howie | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.