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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90-0.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.97vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.269.2%1st Place
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1.68University of Southern California0.9051.5%1st Place
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2.03University of California at Berkeley0.7431.8%1st Place
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3.24Arizona State University-0.397.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Florence Duff | 9.2% | 16.2% | 35.1% | 39.5% |
Morgana Manti | 51.5% | 32.4% | 13.2% | 3.0% |
Katherine Olsen | 31.8% | 39.4% | 22.7% | 6.2% |
Sadie Hoberman | 7.5% | 12.0% | 29.0% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.