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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.77+11.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.87vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.97+7.53vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+4.46vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+5.78vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.19+3.51vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+0.39vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.34vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-4.36vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-2.96vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-2.66vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.38-7.45vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.93vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-8.01vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.09vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.84vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.21-0.92vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.98-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.28Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.78Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.04Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.34Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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11.16Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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17.08Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Annie Spence | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Riley Legault | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Martina Sly | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Grace Howie | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 55.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.