← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.53+1.49vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.23+2.17vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University2.08+0.02vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.82-0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida2.38-2.21vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami0.40-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
-
4.17University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
-
3.02Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
-
3.38Eckerd College1.820.2%1st Place
-
2.79University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
-
5.17University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 30.3% | 27.5% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 29.3% | 22.4% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 19.2% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 15.7% | 13.3% | 21.3% | 23.3% | 19.9% | 6.5% |
| Samuel Armington | 24.1% | 24.6% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 19.0% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.