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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.23+1.17vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.08-0.95vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.82-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.40-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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2.64University of Florida2.380.3%1st Place
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4.17University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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3.05Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.47Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 29.3% | 27.0% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 27.4% | 24.8% | 20.5% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 30.8% | 21.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 19.0% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 21.2% | 14.2% | 4.1% |
| Samuel Peirson | 13.0% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 9.7% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.