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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.36+3.83vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.31+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+1.33vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.65vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.56+5.28vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.68+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.27vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.53-0.24vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+1.91vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.86-4.29vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.12-1.95vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.40-2.01vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University0.14-5.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.64vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.60-1.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-1.59vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.00-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.3616.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Hawaii1.3113.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Southern California1.7117.2%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.0%1st Place
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7.22California Poly Maritime Academy0.536.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Berkeley-0.562.1%1st Place
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7.26Northwestern University0.686.4%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.2%1st Place
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8.76San Diego State University0.535.1%1st Place
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11.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.742.2%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Berkeley0.867.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Southern California-0.123.4%1st Place
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10.99Arizona State University-0.402.2%1st Place
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8.69Texas A&M University0.144.4%1st Place
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14.36University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
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14.79Arizona State University-1.600.8%1st Place
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15.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.5%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Davis-1.001.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fineman | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Annika Burns | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Carsten Zieger | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Cole Broberg | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 38.6% |
| Jason Yang | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.