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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+5.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.74vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+5.49vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+2.45vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+3.32vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.78+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.16vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.61-1.38vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-3.73vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-3.25vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.43-7.62vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.55-0.98vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-3.35vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.43+1.70vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.57+0.48vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.28-8.00vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.37-9.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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11.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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8.28College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.65Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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17.7Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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17.48Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
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10.0SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eric Horrocks | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 29.8% | 50.4% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 34.1% | 43.8% |
| Randall Hartranft | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.