Race 1B

np3-georgia-tech

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jonathan Noyes 68.0% 22.5% 7.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 13.9% 34.6% 26.7% 12.4% 8.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Cabiness 4.7% 10.0% 16.0% 20.5% 19.4% 17.0% 9.4% 2.3% 0.7%
Maggie Royal 6.7% 17.0% 22.3% 24.8% 15.4% 8.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Graham Lutz 2.6% 5.4% 12.0% 14.6% 17.0% 17.3% 14.2% 11.0% 5.9%
Benjamin Tonks 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 5.7% 9.4% 11.5% 17.6% 25.0% 24.5%
Alexander Weisel 1.2% 3.1% 4.8% 9.6% 11.5% 17.7% 20.9% 20.0% 11.2%
Bradley Lewis 1.4% 3.3% 5.3% 7.2% 13.6% 15.6% 20.9% 19.0% 13.7%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 5.2% 8.8% 12.8% 21.3% 43.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.