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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.28+9.29vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+6.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+7.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+3.40vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.17+1.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43-0.32vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.68vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.37vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.69-0.64vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-1.43vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-6.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.33-1.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-3.68vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-1.87vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-4.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.61-7.24vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.51vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.43-0.07vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.57-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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8.28College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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5.68Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.71Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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12.13Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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10.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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17.93Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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17.47Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall Hartranft | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| David Hernandez | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eric Horrocks | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 31.2% | 53.1% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 36.1% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.