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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+1.32vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+3.10vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.91+6.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.51+4.08vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.24+6.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.53+6.61vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.20-1.88vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+1.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.84+5.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.90-0.40vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-0.89-1.41vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.85+1.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-7.11vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38-6.67vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-2.80vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.19-4.79vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.15-1.88vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-4.42vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.58-6.43vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1340.2%1st Place
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5.01California Poly Maritime Academy0.8810.9%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.639.2%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Santa Barbara0.255.6%1st Place
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11.95San Diego State University-0.912.2%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Berkeley-0.512.4%1st Place
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13.37San Diego State University-1.241.6%1st Place
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14.61University of California at Berkeley-1.530.9%1st Place
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7.12Santa Clara University0.205.0%1st Place
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11.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.5%1st Place
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16.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.7%1st Place
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11.6University of California at San Diego-0.902.4%1st Place
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11.59California Poly Maritime Academy-0.892.8%1st Place
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15.59California State University Monterey Bay-1.850.6%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.0%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Santa Cruz-0.383.1%1st Place
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14.2Arizona State University-1.531.2%1st Place
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13.21San Diego State University-1.191.5%1st Place
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17.12University of California at Davis-2.150.5%1st Place
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15.58California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.9%1st Place
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14.57University of California at Davis-1.581.2%1st Place
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17.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 40.2% | 25.3% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Eoghan Kelley | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Liam Marney | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.7% |
| Annika Altman | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.