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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.68+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.32+0.75vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.05+1.31vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.09+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+0.93vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.59-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.54-1.26vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.52-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44College of Charleston2.680.7%1st Place
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2.75University of South Carolina1.320.1%1st Place
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4.31Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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3.65Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.28North Carolina State University-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.95Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Noyes | 68.0% | 22.7% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 14.1% | 35.0% | 27.4% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 4.6% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Royal | 6.8% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Weisel | 1.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 7.9% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 18.8% |
| Graham Lutz | 2.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 22.5% | 24.6% | 16.7% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 20.6% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.