Race 6A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Edward Herman 23.3% 18.6% 15.9% 12.7% 9.7% 8.2% 4.1% 4.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jakub Fuja 11.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.6% 11.6% 9.8% 8.2% 8.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Dominik Moncur 14.8% 14.3% 13.4% 11.5% 11.2% 10.7% 7.8% 4.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hayden McCready 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 5.8% 5.3% 7.3% 6.7% 9.0% 9.7% 9.4% 10.3% 9.0% 7.2% 5.5% 2.5% 1.3%
Richard Pokorny 11.8% 11.8% 10.9% 10.2% 10.4% 10.2% 10.7% 8.4% 5.1% 4.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ludwik Grzelak 8.3% 9.2% 9.7% 10.9% 11.2% 10.0% 9.4% 9.0% 7.5% 6.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Madeline Murphy 7.7% 9.7% 10.1% 11.0% 10.2% 8.8% 10.7% 8.5% 7.5% 6.7% 4.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
John Fichtenholtz 4.5% 4.4% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.2% 10.7% 10.9% 9.5% 7.6% 6.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.9%
Sophia Fuller 4.7% 5.1% 6.1% 6.8% 6.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.6% 9.6% 9.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
James Meyer 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 3.8% 4.3% 5.1% 7.3% 8.1% 9.7% 12.3% 11.9% 10.5% 9.3% 4.5%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.4% 3.5% 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 4.5% 6.2% 6.4% 8.7% 8.9% 10.8% 10.5% 11.5% 7.5% 5.1% 2.7%
Charlotte Green 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 4.3% 5.6% 5.2% 7.3% 9.0% 11.4% 10.5% 12.8% 11.3% 9.2%
Riley McKnight 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.0% 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 7.0% 7.7% 11.7% 14.6% 16.4% 18.2%
Victoria Sikorjak 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 3.1% 3.5% 6.0% 8.6% 9.1% 11.2% 18.1% 28.6%
Olivia Blackmer 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 1.6% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 7.3% 8.0% 10.8% 13.8% 17.0% 18.4%
Colin Shearley 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 10.8% 14.8% 16.5% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.