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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+6.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+3.90vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.50vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+4.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.00+12.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.45vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.85+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont4.60+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.99+1.90vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.74+2.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-2.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.33-2.37vs Predicted
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13Washington College4.25-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin4.10-3.52vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College4.15-4.72vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.47+0.48vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-5.82vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.87-2.53vs Predicted
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19Brown University4.28-9.47vs Predicted
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20Stanford University3.64-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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17.75Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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7.45Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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12.09University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.15Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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16.48Old Dominion University2.470.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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9.53Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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12.63Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 48.3% |
| Robert Vann | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Barrows | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Britton Steele | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Blouin | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Shockey | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 14.2% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Stemler | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.