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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+8.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.25vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida4.17+3.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+5.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+4.92vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+2.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.97vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.47vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.28+0.80vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.78-2.23vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.33-1.86vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-4.82vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.43-8.33vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.55-2.37vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-4.35vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University4.74-12.40vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.43-0.19vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.57-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.8SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.63University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.65Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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17.81Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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17.34Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Horrocks | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| David Hernandez | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Russom | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 18.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 29.2% | 52.4% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 8.0% | 33.9% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.