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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.92vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.47+8.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+2.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.89vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.19vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.24+2.28vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.14vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-4.18vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.12-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.92vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-5.92vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.59vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.59-3.16vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.19Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.14Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.08George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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13.41Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kate Klement | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Riley Legault | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 22.3% |
| Louise Currie | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 26.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.