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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.47+9.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+10.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.06vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+4.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+2.60vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.74vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.71+5.22vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-2.35vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-0.58vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-4.00vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.12-1.33vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.93vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-8.29vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-4.16vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.89vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.56Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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13.98University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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13.22Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.42Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.0Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.17University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Louise Currie | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 27.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.5% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 20.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Kate Klement | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.