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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.33vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.86+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.31+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.57vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.53+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.36-2.02vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-0.12+1.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.56+1.26vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.68-3.80vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-0.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.00-0.88vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.14-6.30vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.40-5.01vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.60-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33University of Southern California1.7117.6%1st Place
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7.29California Poly Maritime Academy0.536.5%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Berkeley0.868.4%1st Place
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4.98University of Hawaii1.3113.2%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.7%1st Place
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8.63San Diego State University0.534.5%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.3613.5%1st Place
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8.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.3%1st Place
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10.03University of Southern California-0.122.9%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Berkeley-0.562.1%1st Place
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7.2Northwestern University0.687.2%1st Place
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11.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.742.1%1st Place
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14.19University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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13.12University of California at Davis-1.001.6%1st Place
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8.7Texas A&M University0.145.0%1st Place
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10.99Arizona State University-0.402.4%1st Place
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14.85Arizona State University-1.600.7%1st Place
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15.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Fineman | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| Jason Yang | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Cole Broberg | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 21.9% | 25.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.