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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+2.65vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.96vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.72vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14+4.67vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+1.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.12+2.00vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.47-0.44vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-2.50vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-7.96vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.92vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-5.25vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.61vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.59-3.11vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.67Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.5George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.39Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kate Klement | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
| Riley Legault | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 21.7% |
| Louise Currie | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 27.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.