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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+7.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.87vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.17vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.06vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+0.81vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.47+0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-5.79vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.12+0.15vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.38vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.24vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.59-1.28vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.56vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-5.15vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.16University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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12.15University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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13.72University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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13.44Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Louise Currie | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 24.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 22.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.