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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.47+9.52vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.99vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+6.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+2.66vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+4.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+5.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.59+5.59vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.12+2.01vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71+2.40vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-4.91vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.14vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.89vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.33-8.13vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-4.62vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-11.81vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.44Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.66Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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13.4Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.09College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.87Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.38University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Louise Currie | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 25.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.