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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+5.99vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+4.48vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.64vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-0.32vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+1.14vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.71+4.36vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.12+1.98vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-3.93vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-2.47vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-3.31vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-2.59vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.47-4.65vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.59-2.12vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-5.58vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.36Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.41Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
| Kate Klement | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Louise Currie | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 27.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.