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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+6.40vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.88vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+2.18vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.12+2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.59+3.94vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.14vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.80vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.57vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.47-3.96vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-3.75vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-2.57vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.46vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.4Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.18George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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13.43Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.51Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kate Klement | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% |
| Louise Currie | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 28.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 21.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.