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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+7.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.71vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.47+7.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+3.76vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-0.27vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.85vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-1.14vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.38vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-0.63vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-1.86vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-1.01vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.84vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.12-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.76Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.99Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 27.8% |
| Riley Legault | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
| Kate Klement | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.