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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+8.04vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.66vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+4.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+1.11vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.50vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51+4.51vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.46-0.01vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+3.39vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74+0.94vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.13vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.73-6.35vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-5.62vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-7.07vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.28-0.89vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.06Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.99Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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13.39Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.94Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.65University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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16.11Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Paris Henken | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 8.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 13.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 57.8% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.