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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+9.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.33+7.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+2.50vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+5.59vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.68+6.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.25vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.28+2.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-4.40vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.78-2.12vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.43+6.74vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-3.32vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.61-4.49vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-4.47vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-6.61vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.43-10.46vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.55-4.22vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-6.25vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.57-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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6.5University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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17.74Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.75Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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17.41Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wallace | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Marks | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.9% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 30.8% | 51.3% |
| David Hernandez | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Horrocks | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 7.7% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 34.8% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.