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📊 Prediction Accuracy
59.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+1.33vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+2.63vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.91+7.85vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.20+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+0.78vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.53+6.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.51+0.95vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+1.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.90+0.69vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.24+1.33vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.19+0.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.53+0.40vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy-0.89-3.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-0.18vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-1.85-1.18vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-0.27vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.15-1.68vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38-10.58vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.58-6.22vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1339.6%1st Place
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4.99California Poly Maritime Academy0.8811.6%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.639.4%1st Place
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11.85San Diego State University-0.912.3%1st Place
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7.09Santa Clara University0.205.5%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Santa Barbara0.255.5%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.1%1st Place
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14.11Arizona State University-1.530.9%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Berkeley-0.513.1%1st Place
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11.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.9%1st Place
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11.69University of California at San Diego-0.902.1%1st Place
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13.33San Diego State University-1.241.4%1st Place
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13.13San Diego State University-1.191.9%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Berkeley-1.530.9%1st Place
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11.83California Poly Maritime Academy-0.891.8%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.8%1st Place
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15.82California State University Monterey Bay-1.850.8%1st Place
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17.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.7%1st Place
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17.32University of California at Davis-2.150.5%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.382.9%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Davis-1.580.6%1st Place
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15.49California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 39.6% | 26.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Eoghan Kelley | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
| Liam Marney | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 26.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 21.1% |
| Brily Petersen | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Annika Altman | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.