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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+7.09vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.46+7.20vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.77vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+1.08vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.28+10.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+2.93vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+0.79vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-2.97vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.51+1.77vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.67-3.55vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-3.71vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-2.49vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.35-1.76vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.08vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-11.34vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.2Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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16.02Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.45Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.51Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.24Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 56.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 9.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.