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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+11.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+4.66vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+5.12vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+4.76vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+0.12vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+1.80vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.46-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.51+2.89vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.18vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.31vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.28+1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.03vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.35-6.54vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.74-5.03vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.35-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.0University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.12University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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15.88Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.97Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.08Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Paris Henken | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 10.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 53.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.