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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+8.61vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.51+9.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.56vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.83vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74+4.84vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+0.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.73-3.00vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-2.65vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.72vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-8.10vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.74-3.25vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.35-2.75vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.67-8.79vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.84Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.0University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.35Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.9Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.25Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.21Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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15.89Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 10.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Charlotte List | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 12.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.