← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.67+7.31vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.70vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.74+9.07vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.09+2.44vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.35+4.29vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.20+0.14vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.20-0.83vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.54vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.73-1.11vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.49-0.87vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.46-1.94vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.55vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.360.00vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.23-4.35vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.26vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.56-3.42vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University1.74-5.04vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University0.28-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.31Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
-
12.07University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.44College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.29George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
6.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.17Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.46University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.89University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.13Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.06Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
9.45University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
13.0Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
9.65Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
12.58University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
-
11.96Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
15.97Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| Paris Henken | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Samara Leith | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 11.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 9.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.