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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+8.67vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+10.92vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+6.08vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.66vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.97vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.73+1.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20-0.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+1.81vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.55vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-3.68vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.79vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-2.67vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.52vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.74-2.48vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-5.68vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.74-4.04vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.36-3.67vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.93University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.33Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.32George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.96Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.33Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.92Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 9.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Paris Henken | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Samara Leith | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 13.1% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 15.3% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.