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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+5.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+8.19vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+3.71vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+5.31vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.51+7.53vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.54vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+1.83vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+3.71vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.73-1.18vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.36+3.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.68vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-5.56vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.04vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.74-2.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.52vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.46-6.93vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.28-0.88vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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13.39Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.32Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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16.12Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Paris Henken | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte List | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Samara Leith | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 12.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 59.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.