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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+7.82vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+4.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+3.93vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+1.46vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+3.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.29vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.51+2.54vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-2.24vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.36+1.18vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.66-1.40vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-5.55vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.87vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.74-5.41vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.72University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.18College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.76Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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13.18Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.6George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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15.76Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Paris Henken | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 9.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Samara Leith | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 5.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.