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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.46+7.74vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.17vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+3.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.60vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.74+5.47vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.51+3.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.63vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.42vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-5.95vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.74-1.63vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.66-2.50vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.67-7.38vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-6.42vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.36-3.98vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.47Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.42University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.02Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.77Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haddon Hughes | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Paris Henken | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Charlotte List | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 8.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Samara Leith | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 11.9% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.