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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+6.09vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+4.96vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.51+8.55vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+1.89vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.33vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.74+5.00vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.40vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.46-1.96vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.36+1.22vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-4.38vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.88vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.66-3.94vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-5.09vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.28-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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5.89College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.0Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.22Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.06George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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15.07Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Paris Henken | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 12.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.7% | 0.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 14.5% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.