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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+5.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+3.49vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+2.06vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.17vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+5.20vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.51+4.93vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.51vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.89vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.74+0.24vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.36+0.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-3.54vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.46-5.47vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.66-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-6.94vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.28-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.49College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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8.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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6.78University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.11Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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11.32Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.29George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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14.22Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 15.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 9.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Samara Leith | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 12.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 13.7% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.